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DALLAS MAVERICKS (8-7) at UTAH JAZZ (9-4)
2012-01-19
Tip-off: Thursday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Utah -2.5, Total: 184.5
After losing to both L.A. teams on last-second three-pointers, Dallas is eager to get back in the win column visiting a red-hot Utah team on Thursday.
The Jazz started the season 1-3 (SU and ATS), but since turning the calendar to 2012, they have the NBA’s best record at 8-1 SU (7-2 ATS). But before dropping two nailbiters in L.A. by a combined five points, the Mavericks were also on fire, winning five straight and seven of eight (both SU and ATS). Dallas’ defense has been extremely stingy in the past seven games, limiting opponents to 78.9 PPG on 38.5% FG (28.6% threes). Although the Mavericks just played Wednesday night, they have shown a remarkable ability to win on zero days rest, going 17-9 ATS (18-8 SU) since the start of last season. And although the Jazz have historically been a tremendous home team, the Mavs won by 12 points and 17 points at EnergySolutions Arena last season. The pick here is underdog DALLAS to end its slide with a big road win.
The Mavericks have been tremendous defensively, but their offense continues to sputter.
Dirk Nowitzki (17.9 PPG, 46% FG, 25% threes) is averaging just 14.1 PPG (43% FG) in his past eight games, reaching 20 points just once in this span. He’s coming off a horrible 6-of-18 shooting night against the Clippers, but a date with Utah could be just what he needs to bust out of his slump. In last year’s four-game series sweep of the Jazz, Nowitzki averaged 24.8 PPG on 63% FG and grabbed 8.5 RPG.
SG Delonte West scored a season-high 17 points in the loss to the Clippers and made 3-of-5 from downtown. This was a great sign considering he entered the game 3-of-18 from three-point range. PG Jason Kidd hasn’t shot the ball well either since his return from injury (5-of-17 FG, 1-of-13 threes), but he did dish out 10 assists against the Clippers, eight more than he had against the Lakers on Monday. Since returning to Dallas in 2007-08, Kidd has 115 assists and 34 turnovers (3.4 ratio) in 13 games versus Utah.
Unlike the Mavs who gear much of their offense around Dirk Nowitzki, the Jazz are happy to share the wealth. Seven players are averaging more than eight points per game led by Al Jefferson (18.0 PPG, 9.3 RPG) and Paul Millsap (15.9 PPG, 8.4 RPG), the team’s top two scorers and rebounders. This duo has been largely responsible for the team’s 50.0 PPG in the paint this month, the second-highest total in the NBA. However, Dallas has allowed just 32.4 PPG in the paint in January, which is the lowest total in the league.
Utah also has two potent scorers off the bench in Josh Howard (10.7 PPG) and C.J. Miles (8.2 PPG). Howard could miss his third straight game on Thursday due to a quadriceps injury, but Miles has 36 points and 11 rebounds spanning just 47 minutes in his past two home games. PG Devin Harris will be going up against his former team in this matchup. Harris has shot the ball terribly this season, posting a career-worst 34.1% FG. But he’s starting to find his rhythm, scoring 23 points on 9-of-18 shooting in the past two games.
Who are you betting on the L.A. Lakers or the Boston Celtics2010-06-18Sports betting have been around since the advent of competitive sports itself. People wagered money or anything of value for the added entertainment that whichever sport brings. One of those sports is basketball which has a huge NBA betting following.
In the world of the National Basketball Association, sports betting have been extremely popular over the past decades. It is actually listed in the licensed sports book of the United States of America. It should be mentioned that since the advent of the internet, sports betting online has progressively been made accessible to anyone with a personal computer and an internet connection. Just recently, the NBA finals between the Los Angeles Lakers and the Boston Celtics have finished their first of seven games. Heading into the first game, the NBA betting odds makers have Cleary picked a favorite. The Los Angeles Lakers are favored by 5-6 points in the first game, according to most online betting sites. There are several key factors to note on this favored team.
First off, the LA Lakers is simply the better team in this current finals match up. Even in the regular season, NBA betting odds makers pick the Lakers as the favorite team, which all NBA betting has taken notice of. Compared to Boston's 50-32 win – loss regular season record, the Lakers sailed to a 57-25 best record in the much tougher Western conference. The Lakers have beaten Oklahoma City in the first round then moved up to beat the Utah Jazz in the conference semi-finals. They faced Steve Nash's Phoenix Suns in the conference finals and beat them with a 4-2 standing.
Looking at both teams' current lineup, the LA Lakers still has the advantage in the sports books. With a formidable frontline of Andrew Bynum, Pao Gasol and Lamad Odom against an aging Kevin Garnett, Kendrick Perkins and an ancient Rasheed Wallace; it wouldn't be surprising if people bet on the Los Angeles Lakers.
It should also be noted that the first game is played at the Staples Center. Another heavy advantage right there. With a packed arena of screaming Hollywood celebrities and fans alike, it is a definite factor in boosting the team's morale, putting another notch in favor of the Lakers.
Lastly, the Lakers have Kobe Bryant. He is currently the best player in this finals matchup and arguably the best player in the league. He came into the playoffs with a 27 point season average. Coming into the finals, he averaged 29.4 points. He is the go to guy of his team and is considered “Kobe Factor” in NBA sports betting. Probably the most dominant force of either teams in this 2010 NBA finals.
With the Los Angeles Lakers winning game one, the sports betting odds in the sports books won't change much going into game two of this finals matchup. With the momentum now going on for the Lakers, the Celtics is now facing an insurmountable challenge. They wouldn't want to come home in game three with a 0-2 finals standing. The Lakers will still be the heavily favored pick in game two and will probably still be the favorite team coming into game three, with probably just a few minor odds adjustments.
Are you ready for some NBA betting? Head over to www.sportsbook.com today and get in the action.
NBA: The end is near for Chicago2010-04-27Last season, the Chicago Bulls pushed the Boston Celtics to the brink of a first round playoff exit, losing a classic series in seven games. It certainly doesn’t look as if the Bulls have that type of effort ready for 2010 versus the Cleveland Cavaliers. LeBron James has been his usual sterling self in getting his team to within one win of advancing to the second round. The decisive game could be Tuesday night in Cleveland, and Sportsbook.com oddsmakers weren’t shy in showing their support for the hosts, listing the Cavs as 12-point chalk.
The confidence with which the Cleveland Cavaliers play is flabbergasting. For three quarters of Game 3, Chicago took the action to Cleveland, holding a double digit lead most of the time. The Bulls were the aggressor and it appeared Cavs players were satisfied with their less than full effort. In the fourth quarter the Cavs came storming back with LeBron taking over the offense and his teammates knocking down three-pointers, finally succumbing by just two points 108-106, as Chicago made their free throws late.
The most stunning aspect of the closeness of that contest was the reaction of James and his teammates, not long faces from losing a game they could have won by playing all 48 minutes, but they were smiling, with a almost maniacal grin of “Oh man, we almost got’em, we’ll take care of this later”.
There were no smiles before Game 4 as King James led a tyrant army of mercenaries into the United Center and blew away their Windy City counterparts by 22. Cleveland returns home to end the series and is 18-6 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more.
Cleveland is starting to reap the rewards for trading for Antawn Jamison, who scored 24 points in Game 2. Jamison is highly respected around the league and didn’t come to Cleveland to improve his legacy, but rather to get a championship ring. At 33, Jamison is sensing his basketball mortality.
“This is an opportunity of a lifetime,” he said. “I don’t have another five or 10 years left in this body. The sense of urgency is there, not only with myself but with the rest of these guys. That’s why I think it’s a great fit because we all have the same mentality. We are all trying to accomplish the same thing—right now. We’re not trying to wait until next year or the year after that.” The Cavs have covered 42 of their previous 66 playoff games.
Chicago is also sensing their mortality, about this season. Star guard Derrick Rose missed practice Monday to undergo an MRI on his right ankle and forward Luol Deng sat out with a sore knee and calf. The Bulls are once again dozen points underdogs and hope to hit enough shots to improve on a 19-10 ATS record revenging a same season loss.
The Cavaliers will look to polish this series off and most likely go on to face Boston next. They are 17-7 UNDER after winning by 20 or more points, with average margin of victory 13.9 points for this 8:00E TNT broadcast.
The StatFox Power Line shows Cleveland by 12, matching the number.
NBA: Suns in blazing hot system2010-03-26In sports, one of the old sayings is – sometimes the best trades are the ones you don’t make. For Phoenix, this has turned out to be abundantly true. It was known all over the league that the Suns front office was trying to move Amare Stoudemire and were reportedly very close with both Cleveland and Miami, however Phoenix didn’t pull the trigger on either deal and Stoudemire stayed. This non-move has turned out to be the best move for the franchise. On Friday, the Suns will be double-digit favorites to the Knicks according to Sportsbook.com, and backed by a powerful system.
At the trade deadline, the Suns (45-26, 39-30-2 ATS) were bouncing back between seventh and eighth position for NBA playoffs, but no more. Phoenix has won 13 of last 16 (11-4-1 ATS), including last five in a row. Not only have the Suns moved up to fifth spot in Western Conference, they are one loss behind Dallas, Denver and Utah to potentially rise as high as the No. 2 slot out West with 11 games to play.
Among the varied reasons for this upheaval is Stoudemire. Often thought to be a malcontent, more worried about personal stats than winning, he has been absolutely domineering with 30.8 points while adding 10.0 rebounds over the last 11 games.
“He’s been great,” coach Alvin Gentry said of the forward, who leads the team with 22.9 points and 8.8 boards per game. “We try to take advantage of situations where they try to put undersized guys on him.
“He’s come through for us big time. He’s played great. The last month and a half, I think he’s been the best player in the NBA.”
The Suns are 3-1-1 ATS during this latest winning streak, which including titillating 152-114 explosion over Minnesota. Phoenix has shot 52.7 percent or better in four of last five outings.
The person that led the Suns revival is now the coach of the New York franchise, Mike D’Antoni. Thus far in taking over the Knicks he has been similar to his predecessors, unsuccessful at 26-45. The roster lacks many of the attributes he had in the desert, namely a point guard even remotely similar to Steve Nash.
New York isn’t all that interesting to watch either, ranked 11th in scoring at 101.7 points per game and has played UNDER in eight of last 11 contests.
The folks at Sportsbook.com have Phoenix as 10.5-point favorites, with total of 224 and that spread could be beatable with this super system.
Play On favorites of 10 or more points after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, against opponent after going Under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
This isn’t a system that comes up frequently, just over two times a season on average since 1996. While it doesn’t pop up often, the results certainly do stand out with 25-5 ATS record, 83.3 percent. Among the comforting aspects are the favorite has NEVER lost and the average winning margin is 17.9 points per game. This system has also stayed consistent, 13-2 ATS the last five seasons.
To further enhance to probability of this system being correct, Phoenix is off a 133-131 squeaker over Golden State Monday night and the blazing hot Suns are 11-1 ATS after a close win by three points or less over the last three seasons.
NBA: Monday Means all Systems Go in NBA2010-01-19The NBA celebrates Martin Luther King Day. This has led a blitz of basketball most of the day, starting in early afternoon and going late into the evening, especially east of the Mississippi. A dozen different opportunities are presented to the sports bettor as the league honors a great man known for heroic deeds. Here are some betting tidbits from each game. Be sure to click over to the LIVE ODDS page on Sportsbook.com before making any final decisions on today's wagers.
Detroit (+5.5,192) at New York 1:05E MSG The Pistons have followed losing 13 in a row with three straight triumphs against New York squad that has dropped four of five. In this situation, look to play on road team having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent having fallen four of their last five games. (63-28 ATS) Portland (+1.5, 192) at Washington 1:05E NBA-TV The short-handed Washington Wizards have fallen four of last five games and this afternoon will be their fifth game in a week. Home teams with a winning percentage of 25 to 40 percent, playing their 5th game in 7 days are 62-103 ATS since 1996.
Sacramento (+6, 196) at Charlotte 2:05E
The Charlotte Bobcats have won four in a row, seven of eight and covered the spread in 12 of their last 17 games. Sacramento on the other hand has lost three straight (not shooting over 38 percent), 10 of 12 and absolutely buried backers with 2-9-1 recent spread record. Naturally, the Bobcats would be the play correct? In the NBA, look the other way as a home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points are 8-24 ATS the last three years after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games.
Oklahoma City (+5.5, 196) at Atlanta 2:05E The Thunder is proving to be one of the best young teams in all of the NBA, even producing a winning record. Oklahoma City is off an impressive wipeout of Miami 98-80 and road teams when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, off a home win by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 45-55 percent on the season, are 34-11 UNDER since 2007.
Milwaukee (+6.5, 197.5) at Houston 3:05E This is the last stop on the Bucks six-game road trip that has seen then manufacture 1-4 (2-3 ATS) record. Don't be surprised if Milwaukee plays OVER, as road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, after allowing 100 points or more two straight games, against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more on two or more consecutive contests, are 35-12 the last five seasons.
Philadelphia (-1.5, 205.5) at Minnesota 3:35E The Sixers and Timberwolves are a couple rumpled offensive teams, ranking 21st and 25th in points scored respectively in the league. In spite of their misgivings in placing the ball in the baskets, teams like Philadelphia off consecutive Under's, playing in a matchup involving two squads that average 92-98 points per game, with a total over 200, are 33-7 OVER since 2005.
New Jersey (+9.5, 196) at L.A. Clippers 3:35E YES In this battle of can't dial up long distance vs. can't guard from far away, something has to give. The Clippers are 27th in three-point accuracy and the Nets are 27th in stopping made baskets from beyond the arc. Home chalk that is poor three point shooting team (33% or less) who commit 14.5 to 16.5 turnovers a game, against lousy three-point defense (36.5% or higher) who average 14.5 or fewer TO's a contest are 13-35 ATS since 2004.
San Antonio (-1, 189) at New Orleans 3:35E Like all good teams, San Antonio has hit the pot hole in the road, throwing the alignment off, which has caused them to lose last two road games. It appears this should not be a deterrent from considering play on the Spurs, as road favorites off two or more consecutive losses, with a winning percentage of 60-75 percent are 32-14 ATS the previous three years.
Chicago (-2, 219) at Golden State 4:00E WGN The Bulls are playing their best basketball of the season by far, winning four in a row and eight of last 11, covering the number an imposing nine times. Road teams like Chicago after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, against opponent going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three outings are 25-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3.
Phoenix (+2, 225) at Memphis 5:35E TNT
The Suns lead the NBA in scoring at 109.3 points per game, but have managed to lose the first three games on their road excursion. The last contest was particularly brutal, losing by 26 points at Charlotte and they will have one more chance to win one time on this trip. Teams scoring 103 or more points a game, who trailed by 20 or more points in their last game at halftime, are 32-10 ATS the next time out.
Dallas (+5, 197) at Boston 8:05E TNT
The Mavericks were blasted at Toronto 110-88 yesterday afternoon and have failed to cover the spread in four consecutive tries. This doesn't set up well for Dallas as underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 25-57 ATS.
Orlando (+6, 202) at L.A. Lakers 10:35 TNT Last season Orlando had plenty of magic on the road, this year, not so much. They are off back to back losses to Denver and Portland by 18 and 15 points respectively. The Lakers on the other hand crushed the Clippers by 40 points Friday night, making exactly half their shots. Teams off blowout win by 15 points or more facing opponent after two straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 13-33 ATS the last five seasons.
NBA: Betting on Denver to continue winning ways2009-04-02In the highly competitive Western Conference, the Denver Nuggets became the fourth team to clinch a playoff spot. They don’t really have time to celebrate, though, as the second and seventh seeds are separated by just 2 1/2 games. The Northwest Division-leading Nuggets look to win their fifth in a row and move closer to securing home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs Thursday night when they host the Utah Jazz, one of the teams chasing them in the playoff race. TNT has the live action for you on Thursday night. Sportsbook.com of course, hosts the more important action. Get the latest lines on the LIVE ODDS page.
After being written off early, Denver (49-26, 41-33 ATS) continued its impressive turnaround with Tuesday’s 111-104 win over New York as a 12.5-point favorite to clinch a playoff berth for the sixth straight year and is 7-0 ATS off a home no-cover where they won straight up as a favorite this season.
“We’re excited about clinching,” said Carmelo Anthony, who is averaging 32.2 points in his last five games. “At least we know we are in the playoffs, that’s a good sign. We still have games to go and win. Two losses back-to-back will put you in the eighth spot. That’s tough, that’s tough right now. I’m happy with the way we’re playing, I’m happy we clinched, I’m happy we’re in the playoffs. But we still want that home court.”
In each of the past five seasons, the Nuggets went on the road to start the playoffs and were eliminated in the first round each time.
Denver, which was fifth in the West just last week, moved into the No. 2 spot with San Antonio’s loss to Oklahoma City on Tuesday. The Nuggets also lead Portland by 1 1/2 games in the division, while third-place Utah (46-28, 37-37 ATS) is 2 1/2 back and is 19-9 ATS after scoring 100 points or more two straight games.
“It means a lot,” Chauncey Billups said. “I never take that for granted. No matter how successful you’ve been in the playoffs or how much success you’ve had, you never take that for granted. Because I can still remember the days when I was just dreaming about being in the playoffs.
“But we’ve got bigger goals than just making the playoffs.”
The Nuggets are heading into the postseason in the right direction, winning four in a row and nine of 10 (6-4 ATS) after losing their previous three. Denver must win five of its final seven to match the franchise record for victories set in 1987-88.
The Nuggets still have four games at home, where they’ve won a season-high six straight and 13 of 15, with eight covers. Denver is just 1-2 against the Jazz this season, but defeated them 117-97 at the Pepsi Center on Jan. 25.
Utah has lost five of six on the road - its only victory in that span coming against the lowly Thunder on March 20.
Struggling away from Salt Lake City, it’s going to be tough for the Jazz to make a move in the standings, considering they also have road games against New Orleans, Dallas, San Antonio and the Los Angeles Lakers. On the year, Utah stands 14-22 and 16-20 ATS on the road.
The Jazz are coming off Tuesday’s disappointing 125-104 loss at Portland, allowing the Trail Blazers to shoot 61.8 percent from the floor. It was Utah’s worst field goal defense since Houston shot 62.7 percent on Feb. 2, 1995.
“We’re going to get our mind right for Denver, and play a lot better,” said Carlos Boozer, who was ejected after receiving consecutive technical fouls in the third quarter. “I believe in my teammates, I believe in our coaching staff, I believe we have the strength and the will to come back from this and bounce back.”
The Jazz could have trouble slowing down the Nuggets, who are averaging 111.0 points on 52.3 percent shooting during their winning streak and are 6-16 ATS in road games playing their third game in four days.
Sportsbook.com has Denver favored by five-points with a total of 209. The Nuggets are 12-4 ATS after allowing 100 points or more three straight games and are 19-8 UNDER versus offensive teams scoring 99 or more points a game this season. The Jazz have been playing off-key notes against teams with a winning record in the second half of the season and are 0-8 ATS. Utah is 13-5 OVER as a road underdog this season.
The NBA grabs back Thursday night with no NCAA tournament games and this Northwest Division confrontation starts at 10:35 Eastern on TNT. George Karl coached teams in the Mile High City are 75-48 ATS after covering three of their last four against the spread.
StatFox Power Line – Denver by 4